Bettable — linefeat_seesline edge plays

Forward paper bet-of-record. Bet the model's side when |pred − line| is large, flat 1u at −110, locked pre-first-pitch and FROZEN (the bet never moves after lock). Full game and First-5 (F5) on one page. Updated 2026-07-01 10:50 PM ET.

Today's plays (2026-07-01) · score & result

Full game — to bet
BETFG O10Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles · OVER 10.5 (edge 1.36 · close 10.0)
Chicago White Sox 1 – 6 Baltimore Orioles · total 7.0 · LOST -1.00u
BETFG E15Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians · OVER 8.0 (edge 1.88 · close 7.5)
Texas Rangers 4 – 9 Cleveland Guardians · total 13.0 · WON +0.91u
BETFG O10Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox · OVER 9.5 (edge 1.42 · close 9.5)
Washington Nationals 10 – 2 Boston Red Sox · total 12.0 · WON +0.91u
BETFG U10Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies · UNDER 13.5 (edge 1.04 · close 11.0)
PENDING · first pitch 8:40 PM ET
First 5 (F5) — to bet
BETF5 E15Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox · OVER 5.0 (edge 1.59 · close 5.0)
Washington Nationals 7 – 0 Boston Red Sox (F5) · F5 total 7.0 · WON +0.91u
First 5 (F5) — tracked only
TRACKF5 O10Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians · OVER 4.0 (edge 1.33 · close 4.0)
Texas Rangers 1 – 5 Cleveland Guardians (F5) · F5 total 6.0 · WON +0.91u
TRACKF5 O10Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies · OVER 4.0 (edge 1.2 · close 4.0)
Pittsburgh Pirates 4 – 8 Philadelphia Phillies (F5) · F5 total 12.0 · WON +0.91u
TRACKF5 O10Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies · OVER 5.5 (edge 1.09 · close 5.5)
PENDING · first pitch 8:40 PM ET

Full game

E15 (edge≥1.5) · BET
1-1-0
-0.09u · -4.5% ROI
O10 (over e≥1.0) · BET
8-5-0
+2.27u · +17.5% ROI
U10 (under e≥1.0) · BET
0-0-0
+0.00u · +0.0% ROI

Record by year · forward, graded

2026
9-6-0
+2.18u · +14.5% ROI

Backtest by year · out-of-sample (train<year, predict year)

vs OPENING

YearE15 (edge≥1.5)O10 (over e≥1.0)U10 (under e≥1.0)
202394-65-9 59.1% · lo90 52.6% · +20.5u97-64-7 60.2% · lo90 53.8% · +24.2u79-51-3 60.8% · lo90 53.6% · +20.8u
2024252-183-20 57.9% · lo90 54.0% · +46.1u194-172-17 53.0% · lo90 48.7% · +4.4u4-5-0 44.4% · lo90 21.8% · -1.4u
202590-69-9 56.6% · lo90 50.1% · +12.8u105-119-5 46.9% · lo90 41.5% · -23.5u15-6-2 71.4% · lo90 53.5% · +7.6u
2026 in-sample43-19-3 69.4% · lo90 59.1% · +20.1u48-47-8 50.5% · lo90 42.2% · -3.4u3-1-0 75.0% · lo90 35.6% · +1.7u

vs CLOSING

YearE15 (edge≥1.5)O10 (over e≥1.0)U10 (under e≥1.0)
2023103-80-8 56.3% · lo90 50.2% · +13.6u107-73-8 59.4% · lo90 53.3% · +24.3u83-52-3 61.5% · lo90 54.4% · +23.5u
2024257-187-23 57.9% · lo90 54.0% · +46.6u207-179-20 53.6% · lo90 49.4% · +9.2u4-4-1 50.0% · lo90 24.9% · -0.4u
2025103-84-10 55.1% · lo90 49.1% · +9.6u113-114-7 49.8% · lo90 44.4% · -11.3u18-7-2 72.0% · lo90 55.7% · +9.4u
2026 in-sample54-31-2 63.5% · lo90 54.6% · +18.1u58-49-6 54.2% · lo90 46.3% · +3.7u3-5-1 37.5% · lo90 16.1% · -2.3u

Full record

DateArmGameBet (locked)ClosePredEdgeResulttotalP/L
2026-07-01O10Chicago White Sox@Baltimore OriolesOVER 10.510.0 bovada11.861.36L7.0-1.00
2026-07-01O10Washington Nationals@Boston Red SoxOVER 9.59.5 bovada10.921.42W12.0+0.91
2026-07-01E15Texas Rangers@Cleveland GuardiansOVER 8.07.5 bovada9.881.88W13.0+0.91
2026-07-01U10Miami Marlins@Colorado RockiesUNDER 13.511.0 bovada12.461.04pending
2026-06-30O10St. Louis Cardinals@Atlanta BravesOVER 9.59.0 bovada10.51.0L8.0-1.00
2026-06-30O10Washington Nationals@Boston Red SoxOVER 9.59.0 bovada10.531.03L9.0-1.00
2026-06-30O10Texas Rangers@Cleveland GuardiansOVER 7.57.5 bovada8.731.23L6.0-1.00
2026-06-30E15Miami Marlins@Colorado RockiesUNDER 15.011.0 bovada13.331.67L17.0-1.00
2026-06-30O10Tampa Bay Rays@Kansas City RoyalsOVER 10.59.5 bovada11.821.32W14.0+0.91
2026-06-29O10Washington Nationals@Boston Red SoxOVER 8.58.0 bovada9.511.01W9.0+0.91
2026-06-29O10Texas Rangers@Cleveland GuardiansOVER 7.57.5 bovada8.561.06W9.0+0.91
2026-06-29O10Miami Marlins@Colorado RockiesOVER 11.012.0 bovada12.071.07W17.0+0.91
2026-06-29O10Minnesota Twins@Houston AstrosOVER 8.59.0 bovada9.631.13W9.0+0.91
2026-06-28O10New York Yankees@Boston Red SoxOVER 8.08.0 bovada9.221.22W9.0+0.91
2026-06-28O10Seattle Mariners@Cleveland GuardiansOVER 7.57.5 bovada8.551.05W11.0+0.91
2026-06-28O10Colorado Rockies@Minnesota TwinsOVER 9.09.0 bovada10.441.44L5.0-1.00

First 5 (F5)

E15 (edge≥1.5) · BET
2-1-1
+0.82u · +27.3% ROI
O10 (over e≥1.0) · track
4-2-0
+1.64u · +27.3% ROI
U10 (under e≥1.0) · track
0-0-0
+0.00u · +0.0% ROI

Record by year · forward, graded

2026
6-3-1
+2.45u · +27.3% ROI

Backtest by year · out-of-sample (train<year, predict year)

vs OPENING

YearE15 (edge≥1.5)O10 (over e≥1.0)U10 (under e≥1.0)
2024144-102-13 58.5% · lo90 53.3% · +28.9u198-182-27 52.1% · lo90 47.9% · -2.0u5-3-0 62.5% · lo90 34.8% · +1.5u
202570-57-8 55.1% · lo90 47.8% · +6.6u114-103-16 52.5% · lo90 47.0% · +0.6u3-2-0 60.0% · lo90 27.2% · +0.7u
2026 in-sample25-11-2 69.4% · lo90 55.8% · +11.7u71-63-13 53.0% · lo90 45.9% · +1.5u2-1-0 66.7% · lo90 25.4% · +0.8u

vs CLOSING

YearE15 (edge≥1.5)O10 (over e≥1.0)U10 (under e≥1.0)
2024145-102-13 58.7% · lo90 53.5% · +29.8u198-182-26 52.1% · lo90 47.9% · -2.0u5-3-0 62.5% · lo90 34.8% · +1.5u
202570-57-8 55.1% · lo90 47.8% · +6.6u115-103-15 52.8% · lo90 47.2% · +1.5u3-2-0 60.0% · lo90 27.2% · +0.7u
2026 in-sample27-13-2 67.5% · lo90 54.5% · +11.5u71-66-14 51.8% · lo90 44.8% · -1.5u2-2-0 50.0% · lo90 18.2% · -0.2u

Full record

DateArmGameBet (locked)ClosePredEdgeResultF5 totalP/L
2026-07-01E15Washington Nationals@Boston Red SoxOVER 5.05.0 bovada6.591.59W7.0+0.91
2026-07-01O10Texas Rangers@Cleveland GuardiansOVER 4.04.0 bovada5.331.33W6.0+0.91
2026-07-01O10Miami Marlins@Colorado RockiesOVER 5.55.5 bovada6.591.09pending
2026-07-01O10Pittsburgh Pirates@Philadelphia PhilliesOVER 4.04.0 bovada5.21.2W12.0+0.91
2026-06-30O10Washington Nationals@Boston Red SoxOVER 5.04.5 bovada6.361.36L2.0-1.00
2026-06-30E15Miami Marlins@Colorado RockiesOVER 6.06.0 bovada7.851.85P6.0+0.00
2026-06-30O10Detroit Tigers@New York YankeesOVER 3.53.5 bovada4.591.09W7.0+0.91
2026-06-29E15Washington Nationals@Boston Red SoxOVER 4.54.0 bovada6.291.79W7.0+0.91
2026-06-29O10Miami Marlins@Colorado RockiesOVER 6.56.5 bovada7.721.22W11.0+0.91
2026-06-29O10Cincinnati Reds@Milwaukee BrewersOVER 5.05.0 bovada6.081.08L3.0-1.00
2026-06-28E15New York Yankees@Boston Red SoxOVER 4.04.0 bovada5.571.57L2.0-1.00