Line sources: Pinn = Pinnacle opening line
· DK = DraftKings opening (used when Pinnacle doesn't
cover the game) · ours = our own odds capture (the
legacy F5 feed died 2026-05-31; we record openings ourselves now).
Model odds are the model's FAIR American price for its lean
; Mkt odds are the posted opening American price for
that same side. Win prices per team work the same way: model fair
American vs the posted market American. Once a game is final the favored
side and each totals lean get ✓ /
✗ (or push) — the lean is the
CALIBRATED P(over) side, not the raw number vs the line. Marks are
record-keeping, not bets. Nothing here beats the market — honesty
is the product. No bets.